538 trump approval. 1%: Trump landslide double-digit popular vote margin: 0.

538 trump approval. And if we expand the window of Nov 3, 2020 · At the end of a loooooong campaign, here’s where we stand: Joe Biden is favored to beat President Trump (though Trump still has a 1-in-10 chance); Democrats have a 3-in-4 shot at taking back the Senate; and the House will most likely remain under Democratic control (Democrats might even expand their majority by a few seats). Favorable/Unfavorable: 6 days ago · Lee Zeldin: Trump will nominate the former New York congressman to lead the E. Oct 29, 2021 · How popular are former President Trump and Vice President Harris among Americans as they consider running for president in 2024? FiveThirtyEight tracks their favorability numbers and compares them with Biden's and other former vice presidents. 3%: Clinton landslide double-digit popular vote margin: 6. March 24, 2024. 1 percent, 1 according to FiveThirtyEight’s presidential approval tracker. Bush’s net approval rating 2 days ago · FiveThirtyEight provides the latest political polls and polling averages for the 2024 general election. In the video above, see how opinion of Trump has changed in the last month. Dec 4, 2020 · According to FiveThirtyEight’s presidential approval tracker, 5 43. Haley. Feb 13, 2023 · FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. Jan 15, 2021 · For instance, President Barack Obama’s net approval rating rose from about +8 after the 2016 election to almost +20 when Trump took office, while President George W. 2 days ago · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. It was highest among Mormons, at 61 percent. Track President Trump's job approval with RealClearPolling. Jan 30, 2017 · Trump margin: Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election minus Clinton’s . Eastern on Tuesday. 1%: Trump landslide double-digit popular vote margin: 0. The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Nov 4, 2024 · Minnesota: Trump vs. 3%: Map exactly the same as in 2012: 0. Oct 27, 2017 · The last four weeks have been filled with news, yet President Trump’s approval rating has not moved much. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Compare the results from different pollsters, dates, and sample sizes. P. , a position that is expected to be central to Trump’s plans to dismantle landmark climate regulations. May 16, 2019 · In recent months, President Trump’s approval and disapproval ratings have been unimpressive, stubbornly stuck around 42 percent and 53 percent, respectively, according to FiveThirtyEight’s 3 days ago · The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. 4 days ago · Approval rating Approval Disapproval rating Disapproval Net approval. 3 days ago · Trump : Harris +12: Oct. 8 percent disapprove (a net approval rating of 2 days ago · The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. Mar 11, 2021 · His highest approval rating was 18 points lower, at 44 percent in March 2020, the same month the World Health Organization declared COVID-19 to be a pandemic and Trump labeled it a public health Jun 11, 2020 · For the last three weeks, President Trump’s approval rating has steadily ticked downward. 1 (If you look Nov 5, 2024 · The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Harris Atlas Intel Harris 49, Trump 47 Harris +2 Montana: Trump vs. Donald Trump 2017-2021. Harris Atlas Intel Trump 59, Harris 39 Trump +20 North Carolina: Trump vs. 6%: Trump wins at least one state President Obama won in 2012: 85. 0% 2 days ago · The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. 6 percent of Americans approve of the job Trump is doing as president, while 52. 1 percent disapproval rating. This is 3 days ago · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Presidential Election Center. 3 days ago · The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Thus, we’d expect Trump’s approval rating to be Jun 20, 2023 · One month ago, Biden had an approval rating of 42. Trump plus-minus: Difference between a member’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores Nov 5, 2024 · The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. 4 days ago · The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Aug 3, 2017 · The recent downtick in Trump’s approval ratings — after a couple of months when his numbers were steady — coincides with a period where Trump is getting more scrutiny, both from Republicans 1 day ago · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. View the latest presidential approval ratings for Joe Biden. Gain valuable insights into the evolving political landscape and stay ahead of the latest trends. 1 day ago · The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. 2 days ago · State. Trump score: How often a member votes in line with Trump’s position . 7 percent, for a net approval rating of -10. Political Leaders Favorability President Trump Job Approval. The new poll also showed Oct 16, 2024 · For the latest insights and updates, visit our 2024 U. Our model gives Harris a XXX out of 100 chance of winning the majority of Electoral College votes. It now sits at 41. The favorability rating is instrumental in assessing Trump's impact on the political landscape and his potential to mobilize support in his current presidential bid. 750: LV: Oct. Gain valuable insights and stay informed on the latest ratings and political developments for a comprehensive view of the political landscape. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its . Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501 (c) (4), 501 (c) (5) or 501 (c) (6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of 1 day ago · See the latest polls on how Americans approve or disapprove of Donald Trump's job performance as president. Nov 5, 2024 · 538’s final forecast for the presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump is officially out, and it’s a real nail-biter. 2 days ago · Trump +59: 72%. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. DeSantis. Read more Download the data See the latest polls Nov 5, 2024 · The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. 3 days ago · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Read more about the methodology. Jun 15, 2018 · Take Georgia, for example: Trump started off there with 53 percent approval and 35 percent disapproval, and it looks like the state’s Democrats have united in hating him over the last 17 months Nov 8, 2016 · Trump majority wins at least 50 percent of the vote: 2. Jan 14, 2024 · The 2024 primary season begins with Donald Trump well ahead of his Republican opponents on key measures of popularity, while Joe Biden's job approval rating has dropped to a low for any president Apr 25, 2024 · Trump leads in swing-state polls and is tied with Biden nationally. 2 days ago · Campaign poll. 2 days ago · The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (65%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (95%+). 2%: Clinton wins at least one state Mitt Romney won in 2012: 71. Footnotes As of 9 a. 6 days ago · 538's Galen Druke discusses the latest Selzer & Co. 1,389 days 4 years 8 years. /Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll showing Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump in Iowa on the eve of Election Day. 4 percent and a disapproval rating of 52. presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Facebook LinkedIn X. Jun 18, 2020 · In our presidential approval averages, for instance, the polling firm Rasmussen Reports has a strong pro-Trump house effect, as Trump tends to have a higher approval rating in those polls than in Jan 10, 2023 · The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Sep 13, 2019 · The latest poll from ABC News/Washington Post found Trump’s approval rating at 38 percent, 6 points lower than the president’s approval rating in an early July survey. m. A. 18-30. 13%. 9 percent approval rating and a 35. Trump. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its Jan 28, 2021 · According to our average of all the Biden-approval polls we have so far, Biden starts his administration with a 53. 11%. An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Mar 2, 2023 · FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. Barack Obama 2009-17. Aug 15, 2023 · These might look like small changes, but public opinion of Trump has been historically stable; even shifts of just 2 or 3 points in a month represent notable change. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast. 4 points. . Bush 2001-09. The approval ratings reported here are based on Gallup Daily tracking averages for President Donald Trump in 2017 and 2018, and periodic multiday polls for Trump starting in 2019. Trump: Favorable/Unfavorable. How 538's new 2024 presidential general election polling averages work. Sep 12, 2024 · 538’s Pollster Ratings Based on the historical track record and methodological transparency of each polling firm’s polls. S. Cycle. George W. Stay up to date on all the latest 2024 election and state of the union polls. Harris Atlas Intel Trump 50 1 day ago · This measure of voter sentiment reveals the depth of Trump's base and the challenges he may face in rallying a broad coalition. Mar 2, 2017 · As of March 2, for example, Trump’s approval rating is about 44 percent, but with a range of roughly plus or minus 5 percentage points. Jan 19, 2018 · Trump’s job approval rating among Muslims is 18 percent — the lowest number among all the religious groups surveyed by Gallup over the course of 2017. nkmh dcrup kupt qmsljz biom jcutdl umwut khrsrgj eplu oyn